February 5, 2021
Pandemic unpredictability brought about negative rental fee development in many worldwide logistics markets throughout the 2nd quarter of 2020, Prologis reported. Nonetheless, in comparison to many various other property types, the industry rallied as the year went on and completed 2020 with year-over-year rental fee growth of 2.9% around the world.
“The stamina of logistics principles was examined and shown in 2020 and also emphasized architectural fads that the pandemic increased,” according to Prologis.
It’s vital to keep in mind that 2.9% growth, while positive, represents a slowdown contrasted to recent years. Furthermore, not all worldwide regions got on just as well. While market rents held consistent in Japan, they slipped in China on a Y-O-Y basis, as well as also in Latin America.
When it comes to North American markets, the deceleration from 8% annual development in 2019 to 3.2% in 2020 was both expected (as a result of increasing supply levels) as well as not anticipated (due to a pandemic that no one expected). “Nevertheless, logistics actual estate demand stayed favorable, triggering rental rate recognition via a lot of the year,” Prologis claims in its 2020 Prologis Logistics Lease Index.
All but among the 10 markets that saw the fastest Y-O-Y rental fee growth in 2020 are in North America. Of those, 8 remain in the UNITED STATE, led by the Baltimore-Washington area at 11%.
The leading 10 is completed by California’s Central Valley, Toronto, Reno, Nashville, New Jersey/New York City, Pennsylvania, Rio de Janeiro, Atlanta and also Columbus.
“After a year of volatility, 2021 is anticipated to be a steady year of development for many markets,” Prologis rays. “We note risks to the outlook, among them the ongoing pandemic and also political as well as economic headwinds.”
The resilience of the logistics has drawn in “substantial equity,” according to Prologis. “In this atmosphere, we are checking exactly how this wall of capital currently targeting the industry might lead to locations of surplus. Substantial structural demand tailwinds continue to be, substitute expenses proceed to climb and also new supply is unlikely to satisfy this demand in the majority of markets, consequently setting the tone for a year of strong rent growth.”
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